
The signs are piling up that Donald Trump is slipping into lame-duck territory even before the year is out.
Democrats are winning races they have no business winning under normal political conditions. The latest example came this week in Miami, where voters elected a Democratic mayor for the first time in three decades.
Inside the right-wing ecosystem, the wheels are coming off. The loose confederation of conspiracy theorists, MAGA influencers, and media personalities that once moved in lockstep around Trump is now openly at war with itself.
At the same time, Trump’s economic message is failing to break through. His policies aren’t improving people’s lives, and voters increasingly believe he has no real answer to the affordability crisis squeezing households.

On Capitol Hill, Republicans are imploding. The party is fracturing in ways not seen since the chaotic 2023 fight over the House speakership. Leadership is weak, factions are at each other’s throats, and governing has taken a back seat to internal score-settling.
See Conservatives Seethe Over Mike Johnson‘s Broken Promise.
Put it all together, and the picture is unmistakable: Trump’s grip on the party is loosening, the coalition around him is splintering, and Republicans are heading into the midterm cycle divided, defensive, and increasingly unmoored.
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