It was not what I expected to hear. I was out canvassing one hot afternoon for Ann Kirkpatrick and Kyrsten Sinema when a man answered the door and said he was a Republican. I was politely backing away when he asked to see the literature I was holding.
“I’m going to vote Democratic this year to put a check on Trump,” he explained, to my surprise.
I recounted the story to another Democratic Committeeperson, and she said she had a similar experience. She was canvassing and the guy at the door said he had never voted Democratic, but he would this year, because of Trump.
I wondered if it was a general phenomenon. Before you write this off as my wishful thinking, hear me out. Continue reading
Posted in Arizona Congressional Races, Arizona State Legislature, Campaigns, Congress, Elections, Kyrsten Sinema, Larry Bodine, Martha McSally, Party Politics, Polling, President, Senate
Tagged Kyrsten Sinema, Martha McSally
Data Orbital, a data analytics and survey research firm, released the following announcement:
With only 6 days remaining until Election Day, over 1.2 million ballots have already been cast in Arizona. Shattering past midterm election turnout figures for the state, these early ballot returns reveal major trends that will continue to play out through Election Day.
The major takeaways for current ballot returns are:
Republican ballot advantage far ahead of 2016: On this same day in 2016 – a Presidential election year – 1,228,936 ballots had been returned, with the Republican Ballot Advantage being +6.4% percentage points, with a margin of 79,180 ballots. With a larger ballot advantage of +9.4% this cycle and a margin of 114,512 ballots, the statewide ballot advantage is likely to see only minor shifts, barring any unprecedented Democratic return numbers in the final week.
Democratic voters holding their ballots longer than 2016: Democratic voters are holding onto their ballots longer than in 2016, averaging 12.44 days compared to 11.36 days in 2016, but shorter than their 13.26 day average in 2014. Meanwhile, Republican voters aren’t holding onto their ballots as long, sitting at an average of 11.76 days compared with 11.97 days in 2016 and 13.48 in 2014.
As an attorney, I can tell a mile away when another attorney is a bad lawyer. Not knowing basic law taught in the first year in law school is a clear sign. Acting on that lack of knowledge to intimidate other people is the mark of a bully.
Arizona’s Attorney General Mark Brnovich is both ignorant and a bully, as demonstrated by his 20-page defamation lawsuit filed against the proponents of the Clean Energy for a Healthy Arizona initiative, Prop. 127.
His lawsuit will be dismissed outright by the Superior Court in Maricopa County. Brnovich out to be designated as a vexatious litigant who is not allowed to file any more lawsuits or motions. Continue reading
Voters in Arizona can confidently vote “yes” for Proposition 127, knowing that it will cut the use by state utilities of polluting fossil fuels like coal, oil and natural gas, and knowing that it will not cause an increase in electric rates.
There has been persistent false propaganda against the measure, asserting that Prop. 127 will cause electric rates to go up from $200 to $1,000 per year or that it bankrupt public schools or that it would somehow hurt air quality. None of this is true.
An example of these baseless arguments was the recent op-ed by Arizona Board of Regents member Karrin Taylor Robson who argued without evidence that Prop. 127 would costs schools millions. The article cited estimates by unnamed “public utilities.” If the article referred to a study from Arizona Public Service — the chief opponent of Prop. 127 — that study has been widely debunked.
Meet Frank Riggs, Republican candidate for Superintendent of Public Instruction. Throughout this campaign Riggs has done everything he can to position himself as a moderate Republican.
“But don’t be fooled — Frank Riggs is a far right-wing conservative who aligned himself with some of the most extreme figures and policy stances of the Tea Party movement,” said Devin Rankin, Executive Director of the Arizona List in an email to members. “He made this clear in 2014 during his losing campaign for Governor:
· “Immigration protesters, including… Frank Riggs, had gathered in Oracle, Ariz. to rally against the expected arrival of a busload of Central American migrant children. A group of armed militiamen were providing security for Riggs…” Talking Points Memo, July 2014
· “Riggs has also staked out some conservative stances that could appeal to red-meat primary voters… voicing concerns about Muslim extremists and Sharia law.” Phoenix Business Journal, June 2014
· “I’m honored to receive Ted Nugent’s endorsement,” said Riggs. “Nugent has unparalleled courage of his convictions.” Tucson Weekly, July 2014