AZ budget and Medicaid restoration moving…sort of

Based
on tweets from members of the Capitol press corps, there are enough
votes to pass everything, but not enough to suspend the rules (which require at least three legislative days for the consideration of any measure), so this situation will go on well into next week.

Based on that information, which is supported by other sources (i.e. – AZ Capitol Times), the likely schedule for the remainder of the session (note: this is tongue-in-cheek, not an actual prediction 🙂 ) –

Tomorrow
(Wednesday): A meeting of the House Appropriations Committee is
scheduled for Thursday.  A session of the House Committee of the Whole
is scheduled for Friday

–
Thursday (June 6) – At the Approps meeting, the committee strips
Medicaid restoration language out of the budget bills.   This creates
all kinds of furor, and House leadership decides to cancel Friday's COW
session to give legislators time to think about things.  And since they
would have to come back next week anyway, this isn't a hard call to
make.

– Tuesday (June 11) – After being greeted by the sight of demonstrators from both sides of the Medicaid issue (tea party types: "health care for the poor will destroy the republic!"; civil society types: "bullshit"),
the House COW session restores the language after a "slightly"
contentious four hours of debate that will include screaming, gnashing
of teeth, stamping of feet, and the sticking of fingers in ears and
yelling "lalalalala I can't hear you lalalalala!".  And after Carl Seel
is done speaking, things will get worse.  Three hours of the four hour
debate will be spent with legislators sitting around as Medicaid
opponents "slow vote", each holding off on actually casting their votes
as long as possible.

Ultimately
however, the Medicaid restoration language will be re-attached to the
budget package.  Probably in time for legislative leadership to do
interviews for the local 10 p.m. newscasts.

–
Wednesday (June 12) – Wanting to avoid the theatrics/histrionics of the
COW session, House leadership informs a closed-door meeting of the
Republican caucus that supporters of the measures will be rewarded with a
lunch with an intern from the Governor's office at the DES cafeteria
across the street from the lege; anyone who engages in the sort of
disruptive and dilatory behavior seen at the COW session will be treated
to lunch, too.  

At Amy's Baking Company in Scottsdale.  

The bills pass with the same gnashing of teeth as seen in the COW session (AZ's dentists are going to see a spike in office visits the week after next) but far more smoothly than in the previous day's COW session.  The budget bills are then sent to the governor.

–
Thursday (June 13) – Legislators in both chambers pass a raft of
measures, send emails to the governor pleading with her to sign their
pet measure(s), and adjourn sine die.  Look for at least two legislators to receive speeding tickets on sine die
day as they get the hell out of Dodge.  And look for one of them to be
Rep. Steve Smith (R-Maricopa), who has a wee bit of a problem with a
lead foot (not sure if that is covered under the "Obamacare" that he so enthusiastically opposes). 

People
near I-10, I-17, and SR87 leading out of the Valley should be prepared
to hear cars full of people cheering and yelling.  Think high school
graduation, with less booze and worse, less hope for the future, because
these folks are coming back in January.