There are two main lessons I take from the Arizona primary returns: Democrats down-ticket in Arizona are in trouble in the general election because of McCain’s effective capture of the nomination, and women have flexed their political muscle – Hillary demonstrated that if you are going to be a ‘minority’ candidate running for President you … Read more
At the risk of getting egg on my face from statistical anomalies, I am calling Arizona for Clinton. You can see the writing on the wall for yourself. Looking at the District level returns, I don’t see any possibility for Obama to overcome Clinton’s ~10 point advantage. The southern Arizona returns aren’t nearly strong enough. … Read more
I’m watching the returns at Nimbus in the heart of Tucson. I’m surprised by a few of the returns so far, but mostly on the Republican side. Huckabee is having a heck of a good night, especially the West Virginia near shutout of McCain. McCain got 1%! Looking at the McClatchy Arizona poll taken Jan … Read more
In Arizona, one must be a registered member of either major party to vote in the primary. The result is both candidates with the greatest appeal to Independents — Obama and McCain — are somewhat disadvantaged. Were the primaries open, McCain and Obama would be assured of victory. McCain will win in any case, being … Read more
Come join Drinking Liberally as we watch the historic returns of the Feb. 5th primaries in 21 states for the Democrats, 22 for the GOP, including our own Arizona. We will be gathering at the Nimbus Brewery and Taphouse starting at 6pm. Nimbus is on 44th Street off of Palo Verde. It’s very easily to … Read more