Posted by AzBlueMeanie:
OK, this may be the only time you will ever see me cite a Purple Strategies Poll (crap), but I thought I would give the Obama camp something to cheer about in Arizona, and maybe attract the attention of the Obama campaign as a possible swing state — one of the goals of team Obama this year. Daily Kos: AZ in play says Purple Strategies Polls & More:
[Purple Strategies] is a consulting group headed by Lannie Davis and Michael Steele …….. ugh, you say! Yes, these guys are unctious cretins but they make there money, not by being right, but by convincing swing-district Ds and Rs that they can cobble a winning "third way" campaign. Their polls have consistantly been R leaning this season but that's not totally bad: if an umpire is always calling the outside strike, you can figure out the strike zone. Thus before reading the polls I figured they would have about a 2% slice from the norm and I was proven correct. The news is solid, RINO/DINO confirmation that the Preznit is in good shape.
* * *
NOTE: I'm showing Purple Strategies numbers, not including what I see as a 2 pt. Red handicap.
Leading off with the biggie:
Arizona: Romney 48, Obama 45 Romney +3
* Even if you don't factor in a house effect, O-3 in AZ would still be HUGE news! Romney can't afford to defend states like AZ.
Subtract the 2 point red handicap, and it is essentially tied.
I would like to see Public Policy Polling, a legitimate pollster, come in and do a post-Romney "47 %" poll in Arizona to test its last pre-conventions poll that had Romney safely ahead in Arizona.
UPDATE: (The PS poll's Arizona results are spread throughout the full survey report. Check pages 1, 7, 10, 11, 15, 16.)
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Come on, you got to love Michael Steele. He’s got a great sense of humor and works for NBC. How conservative do you think he really is? PPP has its problems also. I don’t consider either poll worth very much. AZ is surrounded by a tide pushing democratic even with a spill over of Mormons from Utah. Just based on demographics, this is likely the last presidential election that the GOP will stand a chance. It’s even conceivable that Texas will flip blue.