New Poll: Ciscomani Needs to Keep His Trump-Love a Secret!

Photo credits: Congressman Juan Ciscomani Facebook page, Unseat Ciscomani Team’s “informational” campaign sign

You could call it the “trenches” of the 2026 House of Representatives election — the races where Democratic or Republican candidates hold slight leads and in the center of the line, the races rated “toss ups” by the electoral pundits. You would not be surprised to find Arizona’s Sixth Congressional District in that last category.

            Its congressman, Republican Juan Ciscomani, is right in the middle of the fray in his fight against energetic Democratic challenger JoAnna Mendoza. But he has a terrible disadvantage — although he tries to avoid mentioning it, he is shackled to the incredibly unpopular President Donald Trump. Ciscomani backs Trump 100 percent of the time, on every single major vote,

            The Cook Political Report is among the more conservative election prognosticators. In ranking races’ competitiveness, it “keeps its powder dry,” and avoids jumping to conclusions. The Cook Report has a distinctive “Battleground Poll” it has conducted twice this year among districts it sees as Lean Democrat, Lean Republican, and the big middle ground, the Toss Ups. While the voters in each of the 37 Congressional District polled in September aren’t identical to those in others, the news for Ciscomani clearly isn’t very good.

            Cook’s summary of its September poll is that it “Shows Democrats Up, Voters Eager for Sweeping Change.” As for Trump, “Not only is the president unpopular in these districts — he’s 16 points underwater — but Democrats are more trusted to handle the economy, inflation and the cost of energy.”

            Ciscomani could take some comfort in the findings that among the 37 districts, the Democrats only hold a two-point preference lead (it was six in the April poll), but there’s a catch — a big one. Some of the 36 close districts in April are no longer close, the Democratic candidates having put them away in the interim. They’ve been replaced by Republican-held districts that five months ago were considered out of reach but are now competitive. The battleground that Ciscomani is trying to protect is tilting decidedly, leaving him with an uphill fight. And it’s getting pretty steep. The most recent results from pollster G. Elliot Morris’ “Strength in Numbers” newsletter shows Democrats nationally with a 10-point favorability edge in the House election. Although, wait s minute…the YouGov poll done for the British news organization The Economist has the Dems with a 14-point lead.

            The GOP’s main problem is President Trump. Morris’s poll gives Trump a miniscule 33 percent approval rating. Juan Ciscomani and Donald Trump couldn’t have been better “best buddies” at one point. The congressman has a voting record that’s 100 percent what his Dear Leader wants. He’s voted against congressional involvement in the Iran War six times and has voted against release of the Epstein files.

He even took an adorable selfie of himself and the President (see above). Trump endorsed Ciscomani in July, but so far as the congressman’s campaign goes these days, that’s a state secret (we just leaked it, though).

Now, per the Tucson Agenda, “If President Donald Trump is really “on the ballot” this year, you’d never know it from Republican Congressman Juan Ciscomani’s campaign website. Or his political ads. Or his personal Twitter feed.”

Charlie Cook, the founder of the Cook Political Report, wrote just a few weeks ago that for Republicans “The three most plausible outcomes are that it will be bad, really bad, or truly horrible.”

Trump, who won’t acknowledge even, we imagine, to himself, that he’s his party’s problem, has been offering campaign appearances to Republican candidates. Many have been ducking this great opportunity. It’s likely that Juan Ciscomani, who slavishly follows the President’s wishes when voting in Washington, won’t invite Trump to follow him here to Southern Arizona. Unfortunately for you, Juan, it’s no secret, you are Trump’s most loyal supporter, and everyone knows it.