SWAG for 2012

Posted by AzBlueMeanie:

It's time to update the "Silly Wild Ass Guess" (SWAG) list of who is running for office in 2012. The new district maps have not been finally approved by DOJ, yet alone litigated in court, but there are a number of campaign committees for 2012 based upon the current legislative districts AND proposed new legislative districts. State law permits candidates to collect signatures in the current districts as well as in the proposed new districts.

As you might expect, this list is going to be subject to change when new districts are finally established. It is current as of time of posting.

I am told the Secretary of State will not provide a conversion table for new districts until those districts are finalized. As a result, the Secretary of State campaign committee page is a confusing mess. The FEC web site is even more of a mess. I am going to focus on just Southern Arizona races where I at least know who is running where until the Secretary of State gets his act together.

I will periodically update the list. You can try to follow along at home at the Arizona Secretary of State's web site Campaign Finance Search – Candidates.

Federal Election Commission filings (AZ) House and Senate Campaign Finance:

CD 8 Special Election (to complete the term of Rep. Gabrielle Giffords) April 17 Primary

Ron Barber (D) – filed

Frank Antenori (R) – filed
Jesse Kelly (R) – filed
Martha McSally (R) – filed
Dave Sitton (R) – filed
John Lervold (R) – failed to file
Mark Koskiniemi (R) – failed to file

U.S. Senate

Don Bivens (D)
Richard Carmona (D)
Sheila Bilyeu (D) – No FEC report
Sydney Dudikoff (D) – No FEC report
Tony E. Flores (D) – Withdrew
David Ruben (D) – No FEC report
Rev. Warren H. Stewart, Sr. (D) – Withdrew

Wilford "Wil" Cardon (R)
Jeff Flake (R)
Bryan Hackbarth (R)
Claire Van Steenwyke (R) – No FEC report
John Jeffrey Lyon (Tea Party) – No FEC report

Richard Grayson (GRN) – No FEC report
Michael Meyer (IND) – No FEC report
Ian Gilyeat (IND) – No FEC report

U.S. House

New District 1

Wenona Benally Baldenegro (D)
Ann Kirkpatrick (D)
Miguel Olivas (D) – No FEC report
Douglas McKee (R) – No FEC report
Jonathan Paton (R)
Doug Wade (R) – No FEC report
Anthony Prowell (GRN) – No FEC report

New District 2

Paula Aboud (D) – No FEC report
Steve Farley (D) – No FEC report
Matt Heinz (D) – No FEC report
Nomiki Konst (D) – No FEC report
Nan Stockholm Walden (D) – rumored to announce next week
Frank Antenori (R) – No FEC report
Adam Hansen (R) – Withdrew
Jesse Kelly (R) – No FEC report
Mark Koskiniemi (R) – No FEC report
John Lervold (R) – No FEC report
Martha McSally (R) – No FEC report
Dave Sitton (R) – No FEC report

New District 3

Raúl Grijalva (D) – Inc. (CD 7)
Juan Manuel Arreguin (D) – No FEC report
David Crowe (D) – No FEC report
Amanda Aguirre (D) – exploratory committee
Christopher Flowers (R) – No FEC report
Gabriela Saucedo Mercer (R)
Christopher Scileppi (R) – Withdrew
Jaime Vasquez (R) – No FEC report
Jose Penalosa (IND)

New District 4

Mikel Weisser (D) – No FEC report
Walter Williamson (D)
Paul Gosar (R) – Inc. (CD 1)
Paul Babeu (R)
Ron Gould (R) – No FEC report
Justin Winters (IND)

New District 5

Spencer Morgan (D) – No FEC report
Kirk Adams (R)
Chuck Gray (R) – withdrew
Matt Salmon (R)

New District 6

Russell W. Jenna III (R)
Ben Quayle (R) – Inc. (CD 3)
David Schweikert (R) – Inc. (CD 5)

New District 7

Ed Pastor (D) – Inc. (CD 4)
Rebecca DeWitt (D)(Former GRN) – Not FEC filed
Jaime Alfredo Vasquez (R)

New District 8

Trent Franks (R) – Inc. (CD 2)
Charles R. Black (R)

New District 9

Andrei Cherny (D)
David Schapira (D)
Kirsten Sinema (D)
Travis Grantham (R)
Wendy Rogers (R)
Martin Sepulvada (R)
Don Stapley (R)

Arizona Legislature

LD 23    Terri Kibler, Senate (R) (New LD 8)
LD 23    Joe Ortiz, Senate (R) (New LD 8)
LD 23    Ernest Bustamante, House (D) (New LD 8)
LD 23    Emily Verdugo, House (D) (New LD 8)
LD 23    Steve Smith, Senate House (R) (New LD 11)
LD 23    Frank Pratt, House (R) (New LD 8)

LD 24    Barbara McGuire, Senate (D) (New LD 8)
LD 24    Margaret Lynne Pancrazi, House Senate (D) (New LD 4)
LD 24    Don Shooter, Senate (R) (New LD 4 – not declared)

LD 25    Patricia Fleming, Senate (D) (New LD 14)
LD 25    Gail Griffin, Senate (R) (New LD 14)
LD 25    Mark Stonebraker, House (D) (New LD 14)
LD 25    Peggy Judd, House (R) (New LD 14)
LD 25    David Stevens, House (R) (New LD 14)

LD 26    Jo Holt, Senate (D) (New LD 11)
LD 26    Don Jorgensen, Senate (D) (New LD 9) – withdrew
LD 26    Dustin Cox, House Senate (D) (New LD 9)
LD 26    Al Melvin, Senate (R) (New LD 11)
LD 26    Victoria Steele, House (D) (New LD 9)
LD 26    Adam Kwasman, House (R) (New LD 11)
LD 26    Ethan Orr, House (R) (New LD 9)
LD 26    Terri Proud, House (R) (New LD 9)

LD 27    Olivia Cajero Bedford, Senate (D) (New LD 11 – moving to New LD 3)
LD 27    Maria De La Luz Garcia, Senate (D) (New LD 3)
LD 27    Sally Ann Gonzales, House (D) (New LD 3)
LD 27    Stephanie Mach, House (D) (New LD 10)
LD 27    Macario Saldate, House (D) (New LD 3)

LD 28    David Bradley, Senate (D) (New LD 10)
LD 28    Steve Farley, House (D) – Running for Congress
LD 28    Mohur Sarah Sidhwa, House (D) (New LD 9)
LD 28    Bruce Wheeler, House (D) (New LD 10)

LD 29   Linda Lopez, Senate (D) (New LD 2)
LD 29    Matt Heinz, House (D) – Running for Congress
LD 29   Daniel Patterson, House (D) (New LD 3) 

LD 30    Todd Clodfelter, Senate (R) (New LD 10)
LD 30    Robert Leach, Senate House (D) (New LD 14)
LD 30    Frank Antenori, Senate (R) – Running for Congress
LD 30    Sal Baldenegro, House (D) (New LD 2)
LD 30    Andrea Dalessandro, House (D) (New LD 2)
LD 30    Rosanna Gabaldon, House (D) (New LD 2)
LD 30    Brian Abbott, House (R) (New LD 14)
LD 30    John Ackerly, House (R) (New LD 2)
LD 30    David Gowan, House (R) (New LD 14)
LD 30    Ted Vogt, House (R) (New LD 10)

Corporation Commission

Marcia Busching (D)
Sandra Kennedy (D)
Paul Newman (D)
Bob Burns (R)
Susan Bitter Smith (R)
Bob Stump (R)