Tag Archives: Arizona Secretary of State

Katie Hobbs elected Secretary of State

The AZ Data Guru at the Secretary of State’s office makes it official: Democrat Katie Hobbs is our new Secretary of State.

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The Arizona Republic reports, Katie Hobbs declares victory in Arizona secretary of state’s race:

Democrat Katie Hobbs declared victory Friday night in the race to be Arizona’s next secretary of state.

In a press statement, Hobbs thanked her campaign and supporters. She and Republican Steve Gaynor had been locked in a close contest for days as more votes are tallied.

“As Secretary of State, I will work to ensure that every eligible voter — Republican, Democrat, Independent, Green, Libertarian — can cast your ballot with the confidence that your vote counts and your voice matters, and do so in a way that is meaningful and convenient for you,” Hobbs said.

Gaynor called Hobbs before 7 p.m. to concede.

“It was an honor to be the Republican nominee,” he posted on Twitter shortly afterward. “Many thanks to everyone who supported my campaign. Best of luck to Katie.”

Hobbs’ election is a major victory for Democrats, who spent more than $3 million to boost her campaign. The party hasn’t held Arizona’s No. 2 executive office since early 1995.

Her declaration came hours after Gov. Doug Ducey congratulated her for winning.

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Katie Hobbs extends her lead for Secretary of State

On Thursday, Democrat Katie Hobbs more than doubled her lead over political neophyte and  Trumpster Steve Gaynor for Secretary of State with votes from Maricopa and Pima County. She has padded her lead to 13,171 votes. It is unlikely that Gaynor can expect a dramatic turnaround with votes trending in favor of Hobbs over the past week.

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The Arizona Capitol Times reports, Hobbs is poised to become secretary of state:

Katie Hobbs is going to be Arizona’s next secretary of state – and a heartbeat away from governor – absent a sudden and unlikely last-minute burst of votes from Maricopa County favoring Steve Gaynor, her Republican opponent.

Vote tallies late Thursday put the Democratic contender more than 13,000 votes ahead of Gaynor.

Close to 89,000 ballots have yet to be counted.

About 4,000 of those are from Pima County, a Democratic stronghold. Given what has been the trend there, Hobbs is likely to pick up 60 percent of those votes.

Gaynor has outpolled Hobbs in Yuma County. But state election officials report that only 265 ballots are left to be counted there.

That leaves about 85,000 of yet-to-be-counted ballots from Maricopa County.

To make up the difference, Gaynor would need to pick up more than 55 percent of those outstanding ballots. But the record to date has shown Hobbs gaining slightly more Maricopa votes each time than her GOP foe.

This race could be called today, Saturday at the latest.





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Katie Hobbs is maintaining her lead for Secretary of State (Updated)

In the one race still too close to call, Democrat Katie Hobbs is still maintaining a lead of 5,916 votes over political neophyte and Trumpster Steve Gaynor for Secretary of State.

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We are still a few days away from all outstanding ballots being tabulated. Here is the latest from the AZ Data Guru.

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Here is Jim Nintzel of the Tucson Weekly’s take on this race:

The tightest race was between Democrat Katie Hobbs and Republican Steve Gaynor for Arizona Secretary of State. Hobbs, a state lawmaker, had a slim lead of roughly 5,600 votes as of Tuesday morning, but the vast majority of remaining votes were in Maricopa County, where Hobbs was leading Gaynor by about 12,000 votes. If that trend holds, Hobbs could pull off the upset over Gaynor, a political newcomer who loaned his campaign $2.3 million of his own money (and raised just $212,000) in his bid for public office. Hobbs, by contrast, raised just $925,000 for her campaign as of mid-October and spent less than half of Gaynor’s total.

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Arizona became a purple state in 2018

Despite all the gloom and doom post-election day reporting here in Arizona about Democrats having squandered their voter enthusiasm and record turnout, as we approach all the votes finally being counted it appears that Democrats had a very good night after all in turning Arizona purple.

Democratic Rep. Kyrsten Sinema has won the U.S. Senate seat for Democrats for the first time in almost 30 years, and becomes the first woman to serve Arizona in the U.S. Senate.

Former Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick took back CD 2 for the Democrats, giving Democrats a 5-4 lead in Arizona’s congressional delegation.

Nationally, Democrats have currently picked up 31 seats to take back the Congress, with a number of races still to be counted in which Democrats lead in most of those races. See, FiveThirtyEight, We’re Tracking The Unresolved Midterm Races. Yes, there was a “blue wave” election. Democrats could win 40 House seats, the most since Watergate.

UPDATE: As of  November 14, the Democratic lead in the U.S. House popular vote stood at 7.1%, though it may yet inch higher. For comparison purposes, note that in 2010 — which was widely seen as a GOP “wave” cycle — Republicans won the U.S. House popular vote by 6.6%. (h/t Maddow Blog).

While there remain votes to be counted, it is increasingly apparent that Democratic state senator Katie Hobbs will be elected Secretary of State. She currently leads political neophyte and Trumpster Steve Gaynor by 5,667 votes. Hobbs’s vote total has increased with each day of vote counting since election day, and that trend is likely to continue.

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Arizona races still too close to call (Updated for Saturday Counts)

At the close of counting ballots on Friday evening, Democrat Kyrsten Sinema has expanded her lead in the U.S. Senate race, Democrat Kathy Hoffman has expanded her lead in the Superintendent of Public Instruction race, Democrat Sandra Kennedy has now opened a slight lead for the second seat in the Arizona Corporation Commission race, and Democrat Katie Hobbs has significantly closed the gap in the Secretary of State race. When all the votes are finally counted, we may actually have some Democratic winners after all.  Count all the votes! And be prepared for a recount, or two.

According to the Data Guru, there are still 370,000 ballots left to be counted statewide, 266,000 of those in Maricopa County and 60,000 in Pima County.

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U.S. Senate (open)

Kyrsten Sinema (R)        991,443
Martha McSally  (D)       971,331
Angela Green (GRN)       46,820

Sinema leads by 20,112

Secretary of State

Steve Gaynor (R)            989,749
Katie Hobbs (D)             979,053

Gaynor leads by 10,696

Superintendent of Public Instruction

Kathy Hoffman (D)       986,355
Frank Riggs (R)             954,546

Hoffman leads by 31,809

Corporation Commission (2 seats)

Justin Olson (R)             901,690
Sandra Kennedy (D)     899,847
Rodney Glassman (R)  898,245
Kiana Sears (D)              837,552

Kennedy leads by 1,602 for the second seat

Ballots will be counted until Wednesday, November 14. Stay tuned.

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