Posted by AzBlueMeanie:
Yes, there are still ballots being counted, but in my experience the margin of difference in the few close races is unlikely to be overcome with the ballots remaining to be counted. It's possible, but mathematically improbable.
For the first time in Arizona history, Republicans will control all statewide offices and super-majorities in both the House and Senate of the Arizona Legislature.
Since the U.S. Supreme Court decision of Reynolds v. Sims (1964) which established the "one man, one vote" doctrine, and the federal court reapportionment of Arizona's legislative districts to the 90 seat format (60 House members, 30 Senators) for the election of 1966, the Republicans have enjoyed a super-majority in the House three times: 1979-80, 1981-82, and 1999-2000.
The near-GOP super-majority in 2003-04 ended with a Republican rebellion against their leadership and a coalition with Democrats. (This was the impetus for the conservative purity test purges in GOP primaries in 2004, 2006, 2008 and 2010. The RINOS (moderate Republicans) are now extinct).
The Republicans have never enjoyed a super-majority in the Senate. This is a first. Republicans came close in 1987-88 and 1995-96 with 19 members. (With conservative Democratic votes one could argue that technically a super-majority existed for all practical purposes).
"Absolute power corrupts absolutely." If past is prologue, the radical Republicans will overplay their hand in the next two years as they have always done in the past and there will be a voter backlash. Republicans will lose seats when they run from new and hopefully more competitive district boundaries in 2012. All attention now turns to Arizona's Independent Redistricting Commission.
H/t to the Arizona Capitol Times 2011 Arizona Legislature (50th Arizona Legislature). Arizona Secretary of State web site last updated 11/9/2010 9:43:38 AM:
HOUSE
District 1:
Andy Tobin (R)
Karen Fann (R)
District 2:
Albert Hale (D)
Tom Chabin (D)
District 3:
Nancy McLain (R)
Doris Goodale (R)
District 4:
Judy Burges (R)
Jack Harper (R)
District 5:
Brenda Barton (R)
Chester Crandell (R)
District 6:
Amanda Reeve (R)
Carl Seel (R)
District 7:
Heather Carter (R)
David Smith (R)
District 8:
John Kavanagh (R)
Michelle Ugenti (R)
District 9:
Debbie Lesko (R)
Rick Gray (R)
District 10:
Kimberly Yee (R)
Jim Weiers (R)
District 11:
Kate Brophy McGee (R)
Eric Meyer (D) (1,273 vote lead over Eric West -R)
District 12:
Steve Montenegro (R)
Jerry Weiers (R)
District 13:
Anna Tovar (D)
Richard Miranda (D)
District 14:
Debbie McCune Davis (D)
Chad Campbell (D)
District 15:
Katie Hobbs (D)
Lela Alston (D)
District 16:
Catherine Miranda (D)
Ruben Gallego (D)
District 17:
Ben Arredondo (D)
Ed Ableser (D)
District 18:
Cecil Ash (R)
Steve Court (R)
District 19:
Kirk Adams (R)
Justin Olson (R)
District 20:
Jeff Dial (R)
Bob Robson (R) (1,185 vote lead over Rae Waters -D)
District 21:
Tom Forese (R)
J.D. Mesnard (R)
District 22:
Eddie Farnsworth (R)
Steve Urie (R)
District 23:
John Fillmore (R)
Frank Pratt (R)
District 24:
Russ Jones (R)
Lynne Pancrazi (D)
District 25:
Peggy Judd (R)
David Stevens (R)
District 26:
Terri Proud (R)
Vic Williams (R) (748 vote lead over Nancy Young-Wright – D)
District 27:
Sally Ann Gonzales (D)
Macario Saldate (D)
District 28:
Steve Farley (D)
Bruce Wheeler (D)
District 29:
Daniel Patterson (D)
Matt Heinz (D)
District 30:
David Gowan (R)
Ted Vogt (R)
SENATE
District 1:
Steve Pierce (R)
District 2:
Jack C. Jackson, Jr. (D)
District 3:
Ron Gould (R)
District 4:
Scott Bundgaard (R)
District 5:
Sylvia Tenney Allen (R)
District 6:
Lori Klein (R)
District 7:
Nancy Barto (R)
District 8:
Michele Reagan (R)
District 9:
Rick Murphy (R)
District 10:
Linda Gray (R)
District 11:
Adam Driggs (R)
District 12:
John Nelson (R)
District 13:
Steve Gallardo (D)
District 14:
Robert Meza (D)
District 15:
Kyrsten Sinema (D)
District 16:
Leah Landrum (D)
District 17:
David Schapira (D)
District 18:
Russell Pearce (R)
District 19:
Rich Crandall (R)
District 20:
John McComish (R)
District 21:
Steve Yarbrough (R)
District 22:
Andy Biggs (R)
District 23:
Steve Smith (R)
District 24:
Don Shooter (R)
District 25:
Gail Griffin (R)
District 26:
Al Melvin (R)
District 27:
Olivia Cajero Bedford (D)
District 28:
Paula Aboud (D)
District 29:
Linda Lopez (D)
District 30:
Frank Antenori (R)
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In 1918 the Arizona Constitution was amended to give each county one House member for every 1500 votes cast in the county for governor, beginning in 1921. In 1934, the basis was increased to 2500 votes. House districts were redrawn every four years by county supervisors. No district crossed county lines until the federal court reapportionment to the 90 seat format in 1966.
The Senate was only 19 seats until 1954 when it was expanded to 28 seats. It was expanded to 30 seats in 1966.
Yes, I agree the vote margins not likely to change much. LD 26 Rep.Young Wright now losing by only 745 votes (5:25 p.m. update), but it needs to be a lot closer for a recount.
Does anybody else think that two state reps per LD is a bad system? I think they should be divided into 60 smaller districts for the House and 30 larger districts for the Senate. This is what most states already do, I believe.