
Democrats Holding Leads 48 Hours After Election Day
48 Hours After Polls closed in Arizona, Democrats have maintained their leads in the top four statewide offices, and Superintendent of Public Instruction Kathy Hoffman had regained a lead over Tom Horne. The latest numbers, published on the Arizona Secretary of State site show: While this is encouraging for Democrats as well as some of … Read more

The Inflation Rate Is Gradually Coming Down From ‘Peak Inflation’ In June
The U.S. hit post-pandemic “peak inflation” in June 2022, and the rate of inflation has been steadily coming down on the backend of the inflation peak. If this steady decline continues at the present rate, by this time next year the rate of inflation will have declined close to the FED’s target rate of inflation … Read more

The Red Ripple in Arizona
Ballots are still being counted in many races, but the overall national gestalt of midterm ’22 is clear: this is the weakest performance by the out party in the past two generations. There are a few main reasons, IMO, for the GOP’s historic misfire: They attacked women’s fundamental constitutional right to autonomy and full equality. … Read more

The March to Autocracy was Stopped
As I write this late Wednesday morning, many results of this year’s general election are not clear. We Democrats lurched into this election buffeted by highs and lows in public opinion polls, a tepid economy, and a truth-free messaging barrage from well-funded interest groups supporting Republican candidates everywhere. For our benighted state, many races remain … Read more

Cochise County To Defy Court Order For Illegal Hand Count of Ballots (Updated)
Above: Cochise County Supervisor Peggy Judd. The Arizona Republic reports, Cochise County defying order, continuing recount plans: Cochise County officials are proceeding with a hand count of every ballot cast in Tuesday’s election, despite a court ruling that bars them from doing so. Meanwhile, the Board of Supervisors on Wednesday authorized its attorney to appeal … Read more

2022 Election’s Biggest Losers: Pollsters And The Lazy Media Addicted To ‘Horse Race’ Reporting (Updated)
I have argued for years that, just once, as a thought experiment we should hold an election without any polling reported by a lazy media addicted to “horse race” reporting based upon that polling. Far too much polling is based upon “narrative” polls designed to create a media narrative, and the feckless media plays along … Read more

(UPDATED) Democrats Cautiously Optimistic At Downtown Phoenix Event As Early Results Come In
Update to Last Nights Post (11/9/22) The races have tightened. Please click here to see the latest results at AZ Central or the Arizona Secretary of State’s site. Katie Hobbs, Mark Kelly, Adrian Fontes, and Kris Mayes still have leads against their opponents. For a time, the Mayes Campaign had fallen behind but the latest … Read more
