G.E.: Solar power may be cheaper than fossil fuels in 3-5 years

Posted by AzBlueMeanie:

I posted about Germany announcing earlier this week that it wants to retire its nuclear power plants and is embarking upon an "Apollo Project" to produce its energy from renewable resources as quickly as possible.

This led to a reader exchange about the cost-benefit analysis of renewable energy versus "traditional" carbon-based energy resources and nuclear energy. And the ridiculous argument that governments should not favor industries in a free market economy — governments have always done this, and favored industries are heavily subsidized as well as benefit from government funded research and development (like the computer and Internet you are currently using).

Well, GE, the folks who's corporate slogan is "imagination at work," had this to say about the cost-benefit analysis for renewable solar energy last month. GE Sees Solar Cheaper Than Fossil Power in Five Years – Bloomberg:

Solar power may be cheaper than electricity generated by fossil fuels and nuclear reactors within three to five years because of innovations, said Mark M. Little, the global research director for General Electric Co. (GE)

“If we can get solar at 15 cents a kilowatt-hour or lower, which I’m hopeful that we will do, you’re going to have a lot of people that are going to want to have solar at home,” Little said yesterday in an interview in Bloomberg’s Washington office. The 2009 average U.S. retail rate per kilowatt-hour for electricity ranges from 6.1 cents in Wyoming to 18.1 cents in Connecticut, according to Energy Information Administration data released in April.

GE, based in Fairfield, Connecticut, announced in April that it had boosted the efficiency of thin-film solar panels to a record 12.8 percent. Improving efficiency, or the amount of sunlight converted to electricity, would help reduce the costs without relying on subsidies.

The thin-film panels will be manufactured at a plant that GE intends to open in 2013. The company said in April that the factory will have about 400 employees and make enough panels each year to power about 80,000 homes.

Solar-panel makers from Arizona to Shanghai are expanding factories to add more cost savings that analysts say will sustain the industry’s expansion. Installations may increase by as much as 50 percent in 2011, worth about $140 billion, as cheaper panels and thin film make developers less dependent on government subsidies, Bloomberg New Energy Finance forecast.

The cost of solar cells, the main component in standard panels, has fallen 21 percent so far this year, and the cost of solar power is now about the same as the rate utilities charge for conventional power in the sunniest parts of California, Italy and Turkey, the London-based research company said.

* * *

First Solar Inc. (FSLR), based in Tempe, Arizona, is the world’s largest producer of thin-film panels, with $2.6 billion in yearly revenue.

Little also said the U.S. transition to a full smart grid will take “many, many years” to develop.

A complete smart grid would consist of millions of next- generation meters installed in businesses and homes, appliances that adjust their energy use when prices change, and advanced software to help utilities control electricity flows, he said.

“I think it’s going to be a long time before we can realize the full potential of the smart grid,” he said. “But it is coming.”

GE this year plans to introduce the “Nucleus,” a device that will let consumers track their household electricity use with personal computers and smart phones. The company also is investing in its appliance and lighting unit, including $432 million for U.S. refrigeration and design centers announced in October.

Utilities need to have incentives to put in place devices that save energy, and Congress needs to provide greater certainty on tax policy surrounding renewable energy, Little said.

The Luddites in the oil & gas industry would have us continue to do what we are doing now because they stand to profit from "peak oil" shortages in supply and demand. It is time to replace our crumbling infrastructure with a modernized "smart grid," and embrace renewable energy resources now. The cost per unit will come down with mass production and technological innovations and advances. Sometimes this requires a subsidy or "incentive" to get a new industry over the hump. America did this with railroads, telegraph & telephones, electrification, etc. Why not solar energy?