The farther-far-right GOP House Freedom Caucus, co-founded by Rep. Matt Salmon (R-AZ), has endorsed Florida Congressman Daniel Webster for Speaker of the House, potentially creating a three-way split in the GOP Caucus between House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-CA), Rep. Jason Chaffetz (R-UT) and Rep. Daniel Webster (R-FL) that could prevent one of them from receiving a majority of votes in a secret GOP Caucus vote on Thursday, or being able to obtain 218 votes in the all important House vote on October 29.
The Hill reports, Freedom Caucus backs Webster for Speaker:
The House Freedom Caucus on Wednesday endorsed little-known Rep. Daniel Webster (R-Fla.) for Speaker — a bold move that raises serious doubts about whether Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy can cobble together the 218 votes on the House floor he needs to be promoted.
McCarthy, a five-term California Republican, is expected to easily win the nomination when House Republicans huddle at noon Thursday to pick a successor to outgoing Speaker John Boehner (R-Ohio).
But the true test will come Oct. 29, when the House holds a public roll call to formally elect the next Speaker.
The Freedom Caucus, led by Chairman Jim Jordan (R-Ohio), holds enough votes to essentially veto a McCarthy Speakership, though it’s unclear if all members would cast their ballot the same way.
No one can be elected Speaker unless they win 218 votes.
“I think he’s over the 200 hump, but that’s not the hump,” said Rep. Lynn Westmoreland (R-Ga.), a McCarthy backer who acknowledged the leader still has a steep uphill climb.
Webster, 66, the soft-spoken former Speaker of the Florida state House, is a long shot to win the Speaker’s gavel, as is another rival, Oversight Committee Chairman Jason Chaffetz (R-Utah), 48, who jumped in the race last weekend.
But combined, Webster and Chaffetz easily could siphon more than 30 GOP votes from McCarthy on the House floor, denying him the Speaker’s gavel and sending the process into multiple rounds of voting.
And the endorsement of Webster signals the influential 40-plus member Freedom Caucus’s intention to draw out the process and force McCarthy’s hand.
“Under the present circumstances and without significant changes to Conference leadership and process, Rep. Daniel Webster would be best equipped to earn back the trust of the American people as Speaker of the House,” the group said in a joint statement.
Rep. Mick Mulvaney (R-S.C.), a Freedom Caucus member, said the endorsement is for Thursday’s vote and not for the floor vote.
Still, he said the group has proven that “once we walk out of that room united, we stay united on the floor.”
With the math working against McCarthy, some conservative leaders are reviving the idea of brokering a deal and forging a coalition with the GOP leader: A bloc of conservatives would throw their support to McCarthy on the House floor, pushing him over 218. In return, McCarthy would back one of the conservatives, such as Jordan, to replace him as majority leader.
“Getting a majority of the conference for Speaker is not the answer. He’s got to get to 218 on the floor,” said one leader of the Freedom Caucus, which had pressured Boehner to resign. “There is speculation among many that the only way that Kevin McCarthy ever gets 218 on the floor is if there are different people in leadership.”
Mulvaney called the idea of a conservative coalition with McCarthy “something that is still on the table.”
“I can foresee a situation where that might gain some broad support from the conference,” he said.
Senior GOP aides see such a coalition as improbable. And Jordan has said he has no desire to serve in leadership.
But some Jordan allies say they could see a scenario where the former Republican Study Committee chairman would reluctantly run for the No. 2 job. Majority Leader Steve Scalise (R-La.) and Budget Committee Chairman Tom Price (R-Ga.), two other past RSC chairmen, are already running hard for majority leader, but there’s dissatisfaction among some conservatives with the current choices. Elections for the leader job would only be held if McCarthy is elected Speaker and a vacancy opens up.
“In the right circumstances, Jim would probably step up and do it,” the Freedom Caucus lawmaker said.
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[T]he public roll call, where lawmakers will have to shout out the name of their candidate for Speaker on live TV, is sure to create headaches for many Republicans. Twenty-five voted against Boehner for Speaker in January, the largest number of lawmakers who voted against a leader of their own party.
And conservatives inside and outside of the Capitol are trying to suggest that a vote for McCarthy is another vote for Boehner, a creature of Washington who’s despised by the base. The Tea Party-aligned FreedomWorks is blasting McCarthy as “Boehner 2.0.”
Rep. Thomas Massie (R-Ky.), one of a dozen conservatives who voted for Webster in January, predicted more Republicans would vote for McCarthy in Thursday’s internal election than on the House floor.
“This is like the Boehner vote part two. You want to go home and tell your constituents you voted for Boehner’s right-hand man?” Massie said. “It’s easier to do that in a private, secret ballot behind closed doors than in public.”
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Complicating matters is the fact that McCarthy has been contending with a media firestorm of his own making. On Fox News last week, the GOP leader suggested the Republican-led committee investigating the 2012 Benghazi attacks was created to help deflate Hillary Clinton’s sky-high poll numbers in her bid for the presidency.
Even close McCarthy friends said his remarks were damaging to the party. Benghazi Committee Chairman Trey Gowdy (R-S.C.), who himself has been mentioned as a dark-horse leadership candidate, said on MSNBC that McCarthy flat-out “screwed up.”
“Not good. That’s what I can say. Not good.”
Before the Freedom Caucus endorsement Wednesday, Jordan hinted that his group planned to wield power by voting as a bloc in the Speaker’s race.
“We have every intention of voting together tomorrow and on the House floor,” he said.
The next three weeks could offer time for conservatives to rally behind a majority leader candidate more preferable than Scalise or Price. But so far, none is prepared to launch a bid themselves.
So what happens if these yahoos cannot muster 218 votes for a Speaker candidate? The default position is that the TanMan stays. How John Boehner could stay Speaker:
Boehner’s nightmare could become reality if House Republicans fail to rally around their nominee for Speaker in a floor vote set for Oct. 29.
Boehner’s deputy, Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.), is expected to win the nomination in a closed-door vote on Thursday. But if he can’t reach 218 votes in the formal floor vote, additional rounds of voting will be held.
And if no other GOP candidate for Speaker can secure 218, Boehner would not resign his post as Speaker.
“If you don’t put up 218, Boehner stays Speaker,” Cole explained, “because his resignation doesn’t take effect until there’s a new Speaker.
“They’ve checked with the parliamentarian about that. … We will not be without a Speaker.”
The last time the Speaker’s election went to multiple ballots was 1923, when Rep. Frederick H. Gillett (R-Mass.) required nine ballots on the floor to win the Speaker’s gavel, according to The Washington Post.
Boehner’s nightmare is now America’s nightmare.