Krugman on the GOP’s ideological indifference to evidence


Posted by AzBlueMeanie:

Paul Krugman of the New York Times gets right to the heart of the matter today, Writing Off the Unemployed:

Krugman.png[I]t’s difficult to find a better example of the hardhearted, softheaded nature of today’s G.O.P. than what happened last week, as Senate Republicans once again used the filibuster to block aid to the long-term unemployed.

What do we know about long-term unemployment in America?

First, it’s still at near-record levels. Historically, the long-term unemployed — those out of work for 27 weeks or more — have usually been between 10 and 20 percent of total unemployment. Today the number is 35.8 percent. Yet extended unemployment benefits, which went into effect in 2008, have now been allowed to lapse. As a result, few of the long-term unemployed are receiving any kind of support.

Second, if you think the typical long-term unemployed American is one of Those People — nonwhite, poorly educated, etc. — you’re wrong, according to research by the Urban Institute’s Josh Mitchell. Half of the long-term unemployed are non-Hispanic whites. College graduates are less likely to lose their jobs than workers with less education, but once they do they are actually a bit more likely than others to join the ranks of the long-term unemployed. And workers over 45 are especially likely to spend a long time unemployed.

Third, in a weak job market long-term unemployment tends to be self-perpetuating, because employers in effect discriminate against the jobless. Many people have suspected that this was the case, and last year Rand Ghayad of Northeastern University provided a dramatic confirmation. He sent out thousands of fictitious résumés in response to job ads, and found that potential employers were drastically less likely to respond if the fictitious applicant had been out of work more than six months, even if he or she was better qualified than other applicants.

What all of this suggests is that the long-term unemployed are mainly victims of circumstances — ordinary American workers who had the bad luck to lose their jobs (which can happen to anyone) at a time of extraordinary labor market weakness, with three times as many people seeking jobs as there are job openings. Once that happened, the very fact of their unemployment made it very hard to find a new job.

* * *

Some Republicans justified last week’s filibuster with the tired old argument that we can’t afford to increase the deficit. Actually, Democrats paired the benefits extension with measures to increase tax receipts. But in any case this is a bizarre objection at a time when federal deficits are not just falling, but clearly falling too fast, holding back economic recovery.

For the most part, however, Republicans justify refusal to help the unemployed by asserting that we have so much long-term unemployment because people aren’t trying hard enough to find jobs, and that extended benefits are part of the reason for that lack of effort.

People who say things like this — people like, for example, Senator Rand Paul — probably imagine that they’re being tough-minded and realistic. In fact, however, they’re peddling a fantasy at odds with all the evidence. For example: if unemployment is high because people are unwilling to work, reducing the supply of labor, why aren’t wages going up?

But evidence has a well-known liberal bias. The more their economic doctrine fails — remember how the Fed’s actions were supposed to produce runaway inflation? — the more fiercely conservatives cling to that doctrine. More than five years after a financial crisis plunged the Western world into what looks increasingly like a quasi-permanent slump, making nonsense of free-market orthodoxy, it’s hard to find a leading Republican who has changed his or her mind on, well, anything.

And this imperviousness to evidence goes along with a stunning lack of compassion.

If you follow debates over unemployment, it’s striking how hard it is to find anyone on the Republican side even hinting at sympathy for the long-term jobless. Being unemployed is always presented as a choice, as something that only happens to losers who don’t really want to work. Indeed, one often gets the sense that contempt for the unemployed comes first, that the supposed justifications for tough policies are after-the-fact rationalizations.

The result is that millions of Americans have in effect been written off — rejected by potential employers, abandoned by politicians whose fuzzy-mindedness is matched only by the hardness of their hearts.

This country's economic policies are allowing a valuable asset of educated, skilled, and motivated workers who desperately want work to go to waste simply because they had a loss of employment caused by market forces beyond their control, not because of any personal moral failing. It was the banksters of Wall Street who blew up the financial system and the economy with their casino capitalism after all. None of these self-proclaimed "masters of the universe" paid any price for their moral failures. Only their vicitims paid the price.

The GOP wants to blame individuals rather than their demonstrably failed conservative economic policies, because that would mean questioning what they believe as an article of faith — observable scientific evidence be damned! This ought to be the new definition of "insanity."

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AZ BlueMeanie
The Blue Meanie is an Arizona citizen who wishes, for professional reasons, to remain anonymous when blogging about politics. Armed with a deep knowledge of the law, politics and public policy, as well as pen filled with all the colors stolen from Pepperland, the Blue Meanie’s mission is to pursue and prosecute the hypocrites, liars, and fools of politics and the media – which, in practical terms, is nearly all of them. Don’t even try to unmask him or he’ll seal you in a music-proof bubble and rendition you to Pepperland for a good face-stomping. Read blog posts by the infamous and prolific AZ Blue Meanie here.


  1. You really are clueless, arent’ you? The 1%, or really the .01%, are “friends” of both sides. That’s why there’s precious little difference between the economic policies of both parties, a reality that is completely lost on you, and the political battleground largely consists of issues like abortion rights and LGBT rights.

  2. Also, the 1% are much more likely to be friends of Obama, not the GOP. Warren Buffet, Bill Gates, jeff Bezos. Obama was very careful to protect his friends from taxes while putting the screws to small businesses, the job creators.

  3. “The GOP wants to blame individuals rather than their demonstrably failed conservative economic policies”

    You make the fatal assumptions that the GOP’s “conservative economic policies” are oriented towards the majority of American households, or indeed, are even failing. Their policies are entirely oriented towards the 1%; high levels of unemployment, discrimination against the long-term unemployed, even their hysterical opposition to the recent CBO report that concludes people may no longer be forced to remain in jobs for access to health insurance are all producing the expected and desired effects: a permanently weakened labor force with little leverage to affect change, chained to whatever terms their employers offer in order to keep from personal bankruptcy.

    You just have to understand that the GOP doesn’t work for, represent or give a flying fig about ‘the people’, only their plutocrat patrons who want to roll back the 20th century to a time when they could buy and sell humans with impunity. (Jay Gould: “I can hire half of labor to murder the other half.”)

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