OH Predictive Insights Poll: Clinton leads in Arizona


The Phoenix Business Journal reports, Surprise poll: Clinton leads Trump in Arizona:

HillaryA new statewide poll gives Hillary Clinton a surprising lead over Donald Trump in the 2016 presidential race in Arizona.

Clinton gets 46.5 percent versus 42.2 percent for Trump in 1,060-voter poll conducted by Phoenix-based OH Predictive Insights.

Another 5.8 percent said they would vote for a third-party candidate and another 5.6 percent are undecided.

Pollster Mike Noble said Clinton has a 12-point lead over Trump with women.

Trump leads Clinton by six points in the rural part of state while Clinton leads by 17 points in Tucson.

“However, when it came to Maricopa County, both candidates were virtually tied,” Noble said.

The bulk of Arizona’s population is in Maricopa County.

* * *

“It’s shocking to think that a Democratic presidential candidate would carry Arizona if the election were held today, considering that every statewide office in Arizona is held by a Republican as well as significant majorities in the Arizona House and Senate,” said Wes Gullett, a partner of OH Predictive Insights, GOP political consultant and longtime confidant to U.S. Sen. John McCain.

“Arizona should be a reliable red state,” Gullett said.

Bill Clinton was the last Democrat to carry Arizona, in 1996.


  1. The media will tell us it’s a horse race, they will manufacture drama just to get ratings.

    But if Hillary Rodham Clinton, of all people, is in a virtual tie with the GOP nominee, in Maricopa County, of all places, the election is already over.

    Clinton will win in a landslide.

Comments are closed.