Preliminary Results Arizona State Candidates 2018


It appears that GOP tribalism coupled with a statewide GOP voter registration edge of over a 100,000 registrants is still all it takes to win statewide races in Arizona.

Well, that and massive amounts of “dark money” from out of state anonymous sources.

Republicans appear to have won all the statewide offices, but the Superintendent of Public Instruction race remains too close to call.

Democrats appear to have picked up some seats in the Arizona House. Several races remain too close to call, and there are reportedly over 500,000 ballots yet to be be verified and counted.

Democrats may have narrowed the GOP margin in the legislature, which could force the GOP leadership to negotiate and compromise with the Democratic leadership to pass legislation, instead of simply ignoring Democrats and the constituents they represent. This is a good thing.

Current estimated voter turnout is 46.67%. When more than half of registered voters cannot take the time to fill out a ballot — not including the large number of eligible voting age persons not registered to vote — the health of our democracy is in serious jeopardy. You have to do better Arizona!

(These are the overnight numbers).


Doug Ducey (R)               57.8%
David Garcia (D)             40.2%

Secretary of State

Steve Gaynor (R)             51.3%
Katie Hobbs (D)              48.7%

Attorney General

Mark Brnovich (R)          53.4%
January Contreras (D)   46.6%


Kimberlee Yee (R)          55.6%
Mark Manoil (D)            44.4%

Superintendent of Public Instruction

Frank Riggs (R)           837,396
Kathy Hoffman (D)    830,676
Too close to call

Mine Inspector

Joe Hart (R)                     53.3%
Bill Pearce (D)                 46.7%

Corporation Commission (2 seats)

Justin Olson (R)           25.96%
Rodney Glassman (R) 25.88%
Sandara Kennedy (D)  24.98%
Kiana Sears (D)             23.18%

Arizona Legislature

District 1

Karen Fann (R) Senate                       70.1 %
Joan Craycraft (D)  Senate                29.9 %
Noel Campbell (R)  House               35.29%
David Stringer (R)  House                33.74%
Jan Manolis (D)       House                16.15%
Ed Gogek (D) House                          14.83%

District 2

Andrea Dalessandro (D) Senate      57.8 %
Shelley Kais (R) Senate                     42.2 %
Rosanna Gabaldón (D) House        28.42%
Daniel Hernandez, Jr. (D) House  28.29%
Christopher Ackerley (R) House     21.81%
Anthony Sizer (R) House 21.48%

District 3

Sally Ann Gonzales (D) Senate           100 %
Alma Hernandez (D) House             45.85%
Andres Cano (D) House                    42.06%
Beryl Baker (GRN) House                 12.09%

District 4

Lisa Otondo (D) Senate                        100 %
Charlene Fernandez (D) House        48.67%
Geraldine Peten (D) House                35.56%
Sara Mae Williams (GRN)                  15.77%

District 5

Sonny Borrelli (R) Senate                    75.5 %
J’aime Morgaine (D) Senate               24.5 %
Regina Cobb (R) House                      44.84%
Leo Biasciucci (R) House                    37.56%
Mary McCord Robinson (D) House  17.60%

District 6

Sylvia Allen (R) Senate                             52 %
Wade Carlisle (D) Senate                         48 %
Walt Blackman (R) House                  26.89%
Bob Thorpe (R) House                         26.39%
Felicia French (D) House                    25.06%
Robert “Bobby” Tyler (D) House        21.66%

District 7

Jamescita Peshlakai (D) Senate            67.2%
John Mealer (R) Senate                          32.8%
Myron Tsosie (D) House                       41.37%
Arlando Teller (D) House                     31.81%
Doyel Shamley (R) House                    26.82%

District 8

Frank Pratt (R) Senate                              58 %
Sharon Girard (D) Senate                         42 %
David Cook (R) House                           30.16%
Thomas Shope (R) House                     29.87%
Carmen Casillas (D) House                  20.68%
Linda Gross (D) House                          19.29%

District 9

Victoria Steele (D) Senate                      61.6 %
Randy Fleenor (R) Senate                     38.4 %
Randall Friese (D) House                     36.53%
Pamela Powers Hannley (D) House   35.79%
Ana Henderson (R) House                   27.68%

District 10

David Bradley (D) Senate                       57.1 %
Marilyn Wiles (R) Senate                      42.9 %
Kirsten Engel (D) House                       35.05%
Domingo DeGrazia (D) House             30.42%
Todd Clodfelter (R) House                    28.74%
Joshua Reilly (GRN) House                    5.79%

District 11

Vince Leach (R) Senate                            55.7 %
Ralph Atchue (D) Senate                         43.4 %
Mohammad Arif (GRN) Senate              0.98%
Mark Finchem (R) House                       28.72%
Bret Roberts (R) House                          28.64%
Hollace Lyon (D) House                          21.68%
Marcela Quiroz (D) House                     20.95%

District 12

Eddie Farnsworth (R) Senate                  58.7 %
Elizabeth Brown (D) Senate                     41.3 %
Warren Peterson (R) House                   30.62%
Travis Grantham (R) House                   30.40%
Lynsey Robinson (D) House                   20.03%
Joseph Bisaccia (D) House                      18.95%

District 13

Sine Kerr (R) Senate                                  63.8 %
Michelle Harris (D) Senate                       36.2 %
Timothy Dunn (R) House                        40.01%
Joanne Osborne (R) House                     37.05%
Vasle “Thomas” Tzitzura (D) House      22.94%

District 14

David Gowan (R) Senate                             61.2 %
Jaime Alvarez (D) Senate                           38.8 %
Gail Griffin (R) House                                33.03%
Becky Nutt (R) House                                 32.52%
Shelley Renne-Leon (D) House                 17.62%
Robert “Bob” Karp (D) House                   16.83%

District 15

Heather Carter (R) Senate                          60.8 %
Kristin Dybvig-Pawelko (D) Senate           39.2 %
Nancy Barto (R) House                               29.42%
John Allen (R) House                                  28.44%
Jennifer Samuels (D) House                        21.41%
Julie Gunnigle (D) House                            20.73%

District 16

David Farnsworth (R) Senate                      62.7 %
Ben Carmitchel (D) Senate                           37.3 %
Kelly Townsend (R) House                          36.19%
John Fillmore (R) House                             35.54%
Sharon Stinard (D) House                            22.17%
Richard Grayson (GRN)                                 8.10%

District 17

J.D. Mesnard (R) Senate                               52.5 %
Steven Weichert (D) Senate                          47.5 %
Jeff Weninger (R) House                              34.75%
Jennifer Pawlik (D) House                           32.86%
Nora Ellen (R) House                                    32.39%

District 18

Sean Bowie (D) Senate                                   55.36%
Frank Schmuck (R) Senate                           44.64%
Denise “Mitzi” Epstein (D) House               27.65%
Jennifer Jermaine (D) House                       26.39%
Jill Norgaard (R) House                                 24.11%
Greg Patterson (R) House                             21.86%

District 19

Lupe Chavira Conteras (D) Senate                 100 %
Jose Diego Espinoza (D) House                    53.19%
Lorenzo Sierra (D) House                               46.81%

District 20

Paul Boyer (R) Senate                                      49.95%
Douglas Ervin (D) Senate                                43.30%
Doug Quelland (IND) Senate                            6.74%
Anthony Kern (R) House                                 27.00%
Shawnna Bolick (R) House                               26.51%
Elaine Chandler (D) House                              23.62%
Christopher Gilfillan (D) House                      22.87%

District 21

Richard “Rick” Gray (R) Senate                        53.33%
Kathy Knecht (IND) Senate                               46.67%
Kevin Payne (R) House                                       29.41%
Tony Rivero (R) House                                        27.75%
Gilbert Romero (D) House                                  21.51%
Bradley Hughes (D) House                                 21.32%

District 22

David Livingston (R) Senate                               65.01%
Wendy Garcia (D) Senate                                    35.99%
Benjamin Toma (R) House                                  31.82%
Frank Carroll (R) House                                       31.64%
Teri Sarmiento (D) House                                    18.52%
Valerie Harris (D) House                                      18.03%

District 23

Michelle Ugenti-Rita (R) Senate                         58.13%
Daria Lohman (D) Senate                                     37.51%
Christopher “Chris’ Leone (IND) Senate             4.36%
John Kavanagh (R) House                                    37.05%
Jay Lawrence (R) House                                       33.67%
Eric Kurland (D) House                                        29.28%

District 24

Lela Alston (D) Senate                                            70.19%
Vickie Alger (R) Senate                                           29.81%
Jennifer Longdon (D) House                                40.25%
Amish Shaw (D) House                                          39.20%
David Alger (R) House                                            20.55%

District 25

Tyler Pace (R) Senate                                                61.61%
Kathy Mohr-Almeida (D) Senate                           38.39%
Michelle Udall (R) House                                        39.77%
Russell “Rusty” Bowers (R) House                        35.93%
Johnny Martin (D) House                                       24.30%

District 26

Juan Mendez (D) Senate                                           63.74%
Rebecca Speakman (R) Senate                                36.26%
Athena Salman (D) House                                        38.94%
Isela Blanc (D) House                                                37.06%
Raymond Speakman (R) House                              24.01%

District 27

Rebecca Rios (D) Senate                                              100 %
Diego Rodriguez (D) House                                      52.43%
Reginald Bolding (D) House                                      47.57%

District 28

Kate Brophie McGee (R) Senate                              51.13%
Christine Marsh (D) Senate                                     48.87%
Kelli Butler (D) House                                               27.33%
Aaron Lieberman (D) House                                   24.68%
Maria Syms (R) House                                              24.18%
Kathy Pappas Petsas (R) House                              23.82%

District 29

Martin Quezada (D) Senate                                        100 %
César Chávez (D) House                                            54.99%
Richard Andrade (D) House                                     45.01%

District 30

Otonio “Tony” Navarette (D) Senate                         100 %
Raquel Teran (D) House                                            37.69%
Robert Meza, Jr. (D) House                                      36.56%
Gary Spears (R) House                                               25.75%


  1. LD 9 State Senator Steve Farley reporting on FB that Senate split is 17-13 in favor of Rs, but House is closer at 31-29 with Rs on top. He says to watch LD 17 and 28 in State Senate as the races are close (with both Rs leading at the present). Final tally of all ballots not due till next Wednesday.

  2. Political Thunderdome in LD 11. There is no better evidence than this of the stark partisan divides that now define our age: Of the approximately 60,000 Republican votes cast in Arizona’s LD 11, only 156 decided to split their ticket and vote for one Republican and not the other. That’s literally 0.2% party crossover. It’s not much better on the dem side with only 2.5% party crossover in the house race that calls on voters to choose their top two candidates out of a field of 4 – 2 R’s and 2 D’s. This is not only shockingly low crossover aka bipartisan aka moderate voting behavior in this race, it has resulted despite a vast difference in all of the candidates running this cycle.

    To begin with, Mark Finchem (R) has been the incumbent for some time, is skilled in debate and public speaking, and matches his district’s culture fairly well. He is, however, an outsider (originally from Michigan) who has held down a mismatch of jobs without much success, outside his recent stint in politics.

    Another outsider, Holly Lyon (D), has served our country from the time she graduated college, first as a teacher and then as an Air Force officer turned Colonel. She commanded two tours of duty before sitting on the budget and strategic planning committee for the Air Force. Also, like Finchem, Lyon’s plain spoken nuts and bolts know how of government affairs is a cultural match with Arizona’s LD 11. Lyon ran against Finchem before – in 2014 – coming up only 5% short when the district as a whole voted overwhelmingly republican.

    Given the political winds at the back of dems nationwide, and the movement of women joining the political fray with much success, One would have supposed that Finchem and Lyon were well positioned to glide to victory in 2018.

    Juxtaposed to these two quality candidates are two neophytes to the state political sphere – Brett Roberts (R) and Marcela Quiroz (D). Both have experience in government – Roberts as a sheriff and Quiroz as a teacher in the small city of Maricopa. Neither performed particularly well in the debates. With education of concern this election, Roberts was about as inarticulate as one can be about this hot button issue (and everything else, for that matter), while Quiroz could only speak in generalities to this issue and really nothing else. Quiroz has a social media presence of 256 followers; Roberts didn’t even have a website for his campaign.

    The dearth of evidence to the contrary, Roberts and Quiroz should have been early outs. But that’s not what happened. Roberts got about the exact same number of votes as Finchem, with Lyon and Quiroz, themselves basically tied too, on the outside looking in.

    When there is a gap this large between all other factors and partisanship, we have entered the domain of political thunderdome. Fight it out – no political malfeasance barred. All that matters is who has the bigger stick.

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