Posted by Bob Lord
Oh, Thucky, you poor, pathetic, intellectually dishonest, little gnome.
In my last post, Thucky On Double Secret Probation, I called Thucky out for this statement in a comment:
You ought to be concerned, we now have three years without any increase in government revenues in the United States. All these tax increases have yielded nothing.
Because Thucky was speaking of tax increases, I figured his reference to government revenues was to tax receipts. And, because the tax increases were federal tax increases (many of the states have been reducing their tax rates), I figured the reference was to federal tax receipts. After all, if federal tax increases had the effect of increasing federal tax receipts, you would think they had yielded more than nothing.
Alas, Thucky was not referring to federal tax receipts, or even total federal, state and local tax receipts, but to actual revenues, including, as we'll see, a category of state revenue that by its nature fluctuates wildly from year to year.
When you drill down into the government revenue numbers upon which Thucky relies and make appropriate adjustments for the revenue numbers that not only are unrelated to tax policy but are random in the short-term, the result is the same: The picture Thucky painted is wildly misleading and dishonest.
The complete analysis follows after the jump.