GOP pollster shows Dems leading in all statewide races

In the past week I have seen ads from some “dark money” group attacking Sandra Kennedy in the Arizona Corporation Commission race on the air here in Tucson, which is odd, given that all the Corp. Comm. candidates are running clean elections, we have been assured by all the politicos at the Arizona Capitol Times and the Arizona Republic that the Corp. Comm. race is in the bag for the GOP, and if one was going to make an ad buy it would be in Maricopa County, not Pima. Wassup?

Good-News-702555Now I know why this “dark money” group suddenly started spending money in a down ballot race that does not garner enough attention from the voters: a GOP pollster that has done work for Governor Jan Brewer and the Republican Governors Association — a biased poll for sure — nevertheless shows Democrats leading in all the statewide races. You can choose to believe this GOP pollster or not, but clearly the RGA believes it and it is coordinating last minute ad buys with its “dark money” network accordingly. Believe it!

The Arizona Capitol Times reports, First poll shows DuVal ahead, while Ducey leads most others:

For the first time, a publicly released poll of the Arizona governor’s race showed Democrat Fred DuVal in the lead.

The live-caller poll, conducted on Oct. 7-8 by Oregon-based Moore Information, a respected GOP pollster, showed DuVal leading Republican nominee Doug Ducey 39-36. Libertarian candidate Barry Hess had 3 percent of the vote, Americans Elect candidate John Lewis Mealer had 1 percent and 21 percent were undecided.

No margin of error was made available in the poll. As a live-caller poll of 400 respondents, the margin of error should be around 4.9 percent. The Moore Information poll was not commissioned by either gubernatorial campaign, according to the source who provided it to the Arizona Capitol Times.

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Arizona Daily Star endorses Terry Goddard for Secretary of State

The editors of the Arizona Daily Star today endorsed Democrat Terry Goddard for Secretary of State. I am sure this was an easy choice, given that his opponent Michele Reagan is the co-author of the GOP Voter Suppression Act, HB 2305, and voted in favor of SB 1062, the Religious Bigotry bill, both of which the Star editorialized against. Terry Goddard best candidate for Secretary of State:

goddardWhile the job title secretary of state sounds akin to a human filing cabinet, in Arizona it’s a powerful position charged with overseeing elections, campaign-finance reporting, and recording business and public document filings.

And in Arizona it’s the elected official who becomes governor should he or she vacate the position, which has happened at least three times in the past 25 years.

A candidate for Arizona secretary of state needs to have not only clear qualifications and a plan for improving that office but must be able to move into the governor’s office if circumstances require.

On both scores we find Terry Goddard to be the best candidate. His background as state attorney general and mayor of Phoenix and his concrete plans for making campaign contribution reporting more effective against anonymous “dark money” donations would benefit Arizona.

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The Arizona Republic’s understated endorsement of Terry Goddard for Secretary of State

The editors of The Arizona Republic today endorsed Democratic candidate Terry Goddard for Secretary of State, but the editors (again!) mislead voters by asserting that it’s “a close call.” Secretary of State: Goddard has the edge in close call:

goddardDemocrat Terry Goddard and Republican Michele Reagan are intelligent and competent to do a job that is largely about record keeping and overseeing elections. Goddard has an important edge, though, when it comes to experience and vision.

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Each supports reforms that would disclose who is providing the so-called “dark money” used to influence elections through organizations that do not have to reveal donors. Their strategies may be different, but the goal is the same: transparency.

The editors fail to point out, probably because Laurie Roberts was such a cheerleader for Reagan’s so-called “dark money” bill, that Sen. Michele Reagan’s dark money disclosure bill will accomplish little. It had so little support among her colleagues that the bill never advanced past her own committee (it’s good to be chair). In reality, this bill was just Reagan checking off a box to run for higher office. You don’t get credit for doing that. Goddard’s plan to deal with “dark money” is far more substantive and ambitious. Terry Goddard’s Plan to Get Dark Money out of Arizona.

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Michele Reagan’s really bad week continues

We established yesterday that Michele Reagan is having a really bad week. it continues today with another report in the Arizona Republic, Elections changes roil key state race:

The Legislature reworked election laws last year before, in the face of a citizen referendum, backing down amid charges its work had amounted to voter suppression.

This year, the candidates for secretary of state are reopening the bruising debate.

MicheleReaganState Sen. Michele Reagan, the Republican nominee for secretary of state, said she will, if elected, champion parts of the controversial law, such as changes that would allow elections officials to remove voters from the permanent early-voting list and to ban mass ballot collection.

Those were two pieces of House Bill 2305, which the Legislature passed in the waning hours of its 2013 session, as supporters said it was needed to keep elections running smoothly.

Her opponent, Democrat Terry Goddard, said Reagan can’t have it both ways by saying she supports some parts of the legislation but dislikes others. The bill required an up-or-down vote, and Reagan voted “yes” with the majority Republicans, he said.

“You can’t separate your portions from the bill you said you voted to support,” Goddard said last week during a meeting with The Arizona Republic’s editorial board.

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Michele Reagan is having a really bad week

Michele Reagan, the co-author of the GOP Voter Suppression Act (HB 2305) who is running for Secretary of State, is having a really bad week in the press — and it’s only Tuesday.

The Republic’s E.J. Montini hammered Ms. Voter Suppression in his column today. Reagan runs from Pearce’s words. What about his beliefs?:

MicheleReagan[T]here’s no way I can keep pace with all the Republicans sprinting away from former Senate President, state party vice chairman and SB1070 sponsor Russell Pearce.

Folks like Secretary of State candidate Michele Reagan. All of a sudden Reagan doesn’t like Pearce.

(Republicans never liked Pearce, apparently, except back when they loved him.)

Not long ago Pearce said something on his radio show that sounded like he was okay with sterilizing women on Medicaid. Once word of the comments went public, candidates began scurrying like a certain type of insect when the lights go on.

Reagan quickly sent out a tweet saying, “The obnoxious comments made by Russell Pearce were both disgusting and offensive. Let it be known, he is NOT the voice of my GOP. #Resign!”

Weird.

Before the primary election Reagan make a big push to get the endorsement of Pearce’s buddy and law-writing partner Kansas secretary of state Kris Kobach. It was Kobach who did most of the legal work that produced Arizona’s infamous SB1070, which Pearce pushed through the legislature.

When Kobach endorsed Reagan over the summer she proudly told the Republic’s Mary Jo Pitzl, “I voted for SB1070.”

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