Watch this interview with Allen Lichtman before reading: I don’t fully buy into Lichtman’s Keys theory, but it has proven a very effective predictive tool. We should pay attention to results. Polls this far out predict exactly NOTHING. The fundamental nature of such national races, however, does matter and does have predictive power. Lichtman is … Read more
I read economist Noah Smith’s Substack Newsletter Noahpinion pretty regularly. Today, he had an interesting observation about an economic story that will transform Arizona’s economy in the coming years: For over a year, along with many other writers who follow industrial policy, I sounded the alarm that the much-trumpeted TSMC fab (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company) in Arizona … Read more
There are very few places where the battle for control of the Presidency, the U.S. Congress, and for control of a state legislature overlap more tightly than in Tucson’s northern suburbs and exurbs. That makes the jurisdictions in and around the Southern Arizona region, such as Arizona’s 6th Congressional District (CD6), and the 16th and … Read more
Arizona Sec. of State Adrian Fontes has released the preliminary results of today’s PPE: https://results.arizona.vote/#/federal/59/0 Democrat President Joe Biden has won in Arizona (89.53%), and so has Republican former President Donald Trump (77.9%) in their respective, closed primaries.. There were 9 Republicans on the ballot, most of whom had dropped out. Nikki Haley came in … Read more
Arizona’s Secretary of State Adrian Fontes announced on Dec. 11, 2023 the 19 candidates (9 Republicans and 7 Democrats) whose names will appear on the March 19, PPE – Presidential Preference Election to choose Arizona’s preferred candidates for the US Presidency. Here’s a copy of Fontes’ press release: “Arizona’s 2024 Presidential Preference Election Official Candidate List As … Read more