Category Archives: Redistricting

Face It: Republican Leaders do not believe in Democracy

It should be apparent to most political observers that the Party of Lincoln is dead at the local. state, and federal levels. It has been replaced by a Party (called Trumpist) that rejects everything democracy and republics profess to be about.

This did not start with Donald Trump. This evolution has been proceeding since 1965 when ex Dixiecrats in the Democratic Party forged ties in corporate interests in the Republican and foreign policy hawks that produced the Reagan Presidency, the Gingrich House, and the George W. Bush Administration.

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House Democrats have won an historic mandate

FiveThirtyEight now projects The Last Unresolved House Race Of 2018, the California 21st is likely to be the 40th Democratic pickup. Democrat TJ Cox will turn out Republican Rep. David Valadao.

NBC News reports, Democrats smash Watergate record for House popular vote in midterms:

Democrats won the House with the largest margin of victory in a midterms election for either party, according to NBC News election data.

While votes are still being tallied, Democratic House candidates currently hold an 8,805,130 vote lead over Republicans as of Monday morning. The Democrats’ national margin of victory in House contests smashes the previous midterms record of 8.7 million votes in 1974, won just months after President Richard Nixon resigned from office in disgrace amid the Watergate scandal.

Of the more than 111 million votes cast in House races nationwide, Democrats took 53.1 percent — retaking control of the House of Representatives by flipping nearly 40 seats — while Republicans received 45.2 percent of the vote.

Brent Budowsky writes at The Hill, House Dems won a historic mandate (excerpt):

In the most important midterm election in a century, after voter turnout of epic and historic proportions, House Democrats won a popular vote majority of more than 9 million votes. By contrast, Donald Trump lost the 2016 popular vote by some 3 million votes, and is now viewed as a great divider and dangerous pariah by peoples and leaders of democratic nations throughout the world.

Politics is about power. Effective January 2019, no bill will be enacted into law, and no dollar will be authorized or appropriated, without the support of the Democratic House. House Democrats have won a dramatic mandate to propose — and ultimately pass — legislation to lift the health, wages and lives of Americans, as well as to set the stage to elect the next Democratic president and Democratic Senate in 2020, when most senators running for reelection will be Republicans.

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A reform agenda for voting rights

Despite all the horror stories about “red state” voter suppression efforts in this election, there was also some good news for voting rights in the states as well. The New York Times reports, Before the Fights Over Recounts: An Election Day Vote on Voting:

In Tuesday’s elections [there was] a wave of actions aimed at making voting easier and fairer that is an often-overlooked strain in the nation’s voting wars.

Floridians extended voting rights to 1.4 million convicted felons. Maryland, Nevada and Michigan were among states that made it easier to register and vote.

From the Brennan Center for Justice:

Automatic Voter Registration (AVR) is gaining momentum across the country. Currently fifteen states and D.C. have approved the policy, meaning that over a third of Americans live in a jurisdiction that has either passed or implemented AVR. A brief history of AVR’s legislative victories and each state’s AVR implementation date can be found here. This year alone, twenty states have introduced legislation to implement or expand automatic registration, and an additional eight states had bills carry over from the 2017 legislative session. A full breakdown of these bills, as well as those introduced in 2015, 2016, and 2017, is available here.

Where AVR Has Passed 11-8-18

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LD 17 Democrats shine in Clean Elections Debate

 

LD 17 Democratic State Senate Nominee Steve Weichert and State House Nominee Jennifer Pawlik

Arizona Local District 17, which includes all or parts of Gilbert, Chandler, and Sun Lakes, is becoming increasingly purple over the last two years. Some pundits and commentators like the organization Flippable, seeing a potential blue wave coming in November, feel that Democratic House Nominee Jennifer Pawlik and Democratic Senate Nominee Steve Weichert have a good chance of defeating their Republican counterparts in the next election.

On Tuesday, October 9, both Ms. Pawlik and Mr. Weichert attended the Clean Elections Debate in the second floor Copper Room of the Chandler Public Library. Republican and current Arizona Speaker of the House JD Mesnard, the Republican nominee for the State Senate seat also attended. The two House Republican candidates competing against Ms. Pawlik did not appear at this event, continuing a pattern across the county of the Party of Lincoln nominees being too busy to engage and discuss their views with the people.

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UA Conference on Redistricting on October 5 & 6

A Multidisciplinary Public Forum

“​Congressional and legislative district boundaries are being hotly debated in many states, with three cases before the US Supreme Court this term and more likely on the horizon. Arizona is at the forefront of this debate, establishing an Independent Redistricting Commission, AIRC, in 2000—one of the first states to do so. Arizona’s innovative process and favorable legal decisions, including two victories in the US Supreme Court, are now important precedents for other states.

On October 5-6, 2018, the University of Arizona will host an interdisciplinary conference on redistricting, highlighting the legal challenges, the contributions of mathematicians and political scientists, and the policy implications of redistricting. The conference will be free and open to the public, who are welcomed to a discussion of issues that affect the citizens of every state.”

MATH, POLITICS & LAW IN REDISTRICTING
THE U.S. SUPREME COURT IN REDISTRICTING

ARIZONA’S ROLE AS A NATIONAL MODEL FOR REFORM

OUTLOOK FOR 2020 AND BEYOND

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 5, 2018

4:30 PM – 8 PM

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 6, 2018

8:00 AM – 5:30 PM

UNIVERSITY OF ARIZONA

ENVIRONMENT & NATURAL RESOURCES 2 BUILDING

1064 EAST LOWELL STREET

TUCSON, AZ 85721

FREE Registration

4:00-5:00 Check-in

5:00-6:00 Reception with welcoming remarks

6:00-8:00 Presentation: The Role of the US Supreme Court in Gerrymandering and Redistricting with an Update on Recent Cases

Racial and Partisan Gerrymandering, Voting Rights Act

Recent cases: Arizona, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Maryland, etc.

Q&A

Saturday, Oct 6

8:30-9:00 Coffee/Pastry

National Focus

9:00-9:40 Presentation: History of Gerrymandering in the US

Q&A

9:45-10:15 Presentation: US Census and Importance of Fair & Accurate Count

Q&A

10:30-11:00 Presentation: Math, Politics and Law in the Study of Gerrymandering

11:00-12:00 Presentation or Panel: Measures of Gerrymandering

Q&A

12:00-1:00 Lunch

Arizona Focus

1:00-2:00 Presentation: Independent Redistricting in Arizona

Q&A

2:00-3:15 Panel: Legal Precedents from Arizona

Q&A

3:30-4:30 Panel: National Political Considerations and Realities

Q&A

4:30-5:00 Panel: National Outlook for 2020 Redistricting: Arizona and Beyond

5:00 Wrap Up

Info:  www.redistrictingconference.math.arizona.edu




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