Posted by Bob Lord
I'll sandwich my modest prediction in between the two hard truths. First hard truth: This still is a very racist country. In an election between a black centrist and a bald faced shape shifting liar, it's neck and neck. If Obama were white, this would be a landslide, We wouldn't even be following the election. Romney would be a laughing stock. Romney's had 90 good minutes in a six month campaign, and even in those 90 minutes (the first debate) he was lying through his teeth. This election is an embarassment for America.
My prediction is consistent with Mike Bryan's earlier, more detailed, post today. I agree with his most likely scenario, with one caveat. Although I think Obama should win Florida if all votes are counted, I think it is close enough to make it a 50/50 proposition whether Romney will steal it.
Which leads to the second hard truth: Americans no longer care enough about preserving their democracy to deserve it. George W should not have been permitted to steal the 2000 election peacefully. Right-minded people should have been in the streets — by the millions. But, OK, we were coming off the Clinton years and didn't know how bad it would be. And that election truly was close. We didn't know Gore won Florida, we just suspected it. The cheating had largely been under the radar.
This time is different. If Romney wins, it's an outright theft. We've witnessed four years of systematic cheating by the right. As mind boggling as this seem from an objective standpoint, they''ll get away with it. We won't be in the streets. There may be an unsuccessful court case, but that will be it. And those on the right know this. That's why they're so brazen in their efforts. If they knew they'd be facing civil rights era blow back, things would be vastly different — and better. But Americans just don't value things like civil rights and justice the way they used to. And that's a shame.